It is common in tendons that do not hurt. Across 91 studies of people with no Achilles symptoms, the share with a tendon abnormality on imaging ranged from none to 80 percent. It was higher in people aged 40 or over, in people with a higher body mass index and in people who were physically active, and much of the remaining spread likely came from differences in how studies defined an abnormality and were designed (Docking et al., 2021).
It raises the odds of pain later, but most such tendons stayed painless. Across 16 studies that scanned painless tendons in athletes and then followed them, including 810 Achilles tendons, about 27 percent of abnormal-looking Achilles tendons became painful, and 92 percent of normal-looking ones stayed pain-free (Cushman et al., 2025).
Changes at the heel are common on the painless side too. In 71 people who had surgery for insertional pain in one heel, X-rays of the other, painless heel showed much the same bony bump and calcification at the attachment, only somewhat smaller on average, and none of the measurements told the painful heel from the painless one reliably (Nakajima, 2024).
It does not predict how you will recover. The Dutch guideline on Achilles tendinopathy advises against using imaging to predict the outcome, and asks clinicians to tell people who have had a scan that the findings do not predict how they will do (de Vos et al., 2021).
It often stays abnormal while you improve. In 23 people with long-standing mid-portion pain who did a 16-week heel-drop program, symptoms improved while the tendon’s structure on a detailed ultrasound measure did not change, and its structure at the start did not predict who improved (de Vos et al., 2012). In a larger trial the tendons did become thinner, with fewer vessels, as people improved (Beyer et al., 2015). Either way, the guideline advises against repeat scans to monitor treatment (de Vos et al., 2021).
It is not a diagnosis by itself. Achilles tendinopathy is diagnosed from four findings in the clinic: pain in one area of the tendon, pain with loading such as sport, local thickening (which can be missing early on) and tenderness when the tendon is pressed. When all four are present, the guideline advises that no imaging is needed; it suggests considering a scan, with ultrasound preferred, when the picture does not fit, the course is unexpected or surgery is being considered (de Vos et al., 2021).